Mont-Gaillard vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
14º
14º
32
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mont-Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
MGA
0 - 2
DIV
29%
21%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OIS
0 - 0
MGA
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MGA
2 - 2
GON
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
MGA
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MGA
1 - 0
ALE
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
AFV
8 - 2
AVR
76%
15%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 2
DIE
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 1
AGC
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 2
AVR
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 0
OIS
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |