Monsoon vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monsoon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
AIM
1 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SGA
0 - 2
MON
20%
23%
58%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
AIM
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ISM
3 - 0
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ISM
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
GEB
2 - 4
AIM
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
GEB
17%
19%
64%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GEB
1 - 0
LAJ
31%
27%
41%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
AIM
0 - 1
GEB
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
LAJ
2 - 0
GEB
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |