Monsanto vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monsanto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
LOU
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FAT
3 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
PIN
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
EVN
2 - 1
MOU
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 3
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 0
1DE
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 1
MOU
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 5
ORI
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |