Monsanto vs Juventude Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monsanto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
EVN
2 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
1DE
45%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Juventude Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
FAT
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 2
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |