Mons vs Tienen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
KSV
0 - 0
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MON
3 - 3
WAA
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STA
2 - 3
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
HEI
2 - 2
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
BRU
2 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tienen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
TIE
1 - 3
TUB
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
TOU
0 - 0
TIE
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
TIE
2 - 1
KSV
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
TIE
0 - 2
RUP
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
TIE
0 - 0
LEU
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |