Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Mons vs Rupel Boom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ZUL
2 - 3
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
CER
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
STR
2 - 3
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KVC
2 - 1
MON
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
LIE
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rupel Boom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RUP
1 - 2
DES
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
RUP
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 3
RUP
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RUP
2 - 1
GEE
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 1
RUP
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |