Mons vs OH Leuven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CER
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BEE
1 - 1
MON
58%
21%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
ZUL
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 2
MON
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
LIE
1 - 2
LEU
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEU
3 - 2
CER
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LEU
4 - 2
KVM
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KVM
2 - 1
LEU
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CER
6 - 4
LEU
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |