Mons vs OH Leuven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
RUP
2 - 2
MON
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
KVM
4 - 1
MON
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
AND
21%
25%
55%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
RUP
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ZUL
2 - 3
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEU
1 - 1
LOK
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
KVM
2 - 2
LEU
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LEU
3 - 1
BRU
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LEU
2 - 2
ZUL
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AND
0 - 0
LEU
80%
14%
7%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |