Mons vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRU
2 - 1
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
TUB
0 - 3
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MON
5 - 1
KVM
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEU
3 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
ZUL
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
KVM
0 - 2
LOK
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 0
EUP
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 2
BRU
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 1
LOK
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 1
LEU
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |