Mons vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LIE
1 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MON
1 - 2
BRU
20%
23%
58%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MON
1 - 2
GNK
21%
23%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
AND
2 - 1
MON
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
MON
4 - 1
CHA
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LOK
4 - 1
CHA
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
LOK
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
LOK
2 - 1
ANT
65%
20%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 3
LOK
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
LOK
3 - 3
SDL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |