Mons vs RFC Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RON
0 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
TOU
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
MON
4 - 1
RSW
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LEU
0 - 5
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
EUP
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LIE
2 - 0
BRU
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LIE
3 - 1
LIE
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ANT
2 - 0
LIE
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
OOS
5 - 0
LIE
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LIE
0 - 1
RSW
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |