Mons vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RUP
1 - 0
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
DEN
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
TUB
0 - 2
MON
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
LOM
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIS
0 - 3
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HEI
3 - 0
DEN
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LOM
1 - 1
HEI
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HEI
2 - 3
ANT
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TIE
4 - 1
HEI
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HEI
0 - 1
WAA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |