Mons vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
MON
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
LOK
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 2
MON
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
BRU
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
KVC
2 - 1
MON
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
AND
6 - 0
GNK
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 1
AND
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
KSK
0 - 5
GNK
23%
24%
54%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
GNK
0 - 1
AND
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
GNK
3 - 0
KSV
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |