Mons vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
KSK
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
RON
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
DEN
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
TOU
2 - 1
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 1
KVC
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BRU
4 - 1
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -4 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 1
WIE
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZUL
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 1
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |