Mons vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
BRU
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
2 - 0
MON
63%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
MON
3 - 2
KVC
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SDL
2 - 0
MON
77%
17%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
MON
4 - 1
RAA
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2005 |
CER
1 - 0
EXC
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BRU
21%
23%
57%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LIE
0 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |