Mons Calpe vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LRI
4 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
EUR
1 - 4
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
CEU
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
GLA
3 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIO
1 - 1
GLA
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
LRI
4 - 1
LIO
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
LIO
0 - 0
GIB
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 1
LIO
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
LIO
1 - 1
LYN
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |