Monovar A vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monovar A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
PIN
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
ALB
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
ALG
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PRV
3 - 6
MON
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
UDF
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UDF
2 - 2
RAF
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ELD
1 - 1
UDF
68%
16%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 3
PRV
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 2
UDF
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |