Serie C Playoffs Descenso Final
Global 2-2
Monopoli vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MES
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
TAR
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SSC
0 - 1
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
JUS
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAT
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |