Monopoli vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 2
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 1
MON
50%
27%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
USV
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
FCC
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEC
15%
22%
63%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 0
MES
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
REG
2 - 2
TAR
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 3
FRA
43%
28%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |