Monopoli vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
SAM
1 - 0
MON
91%
7%
2%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
MON
1 - 0
TAR
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
MON
0 - 2
ATL
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
41%
31%
28%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
CAT
0 - 0
SAM
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
CAT
53%
29%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
CAT
0 - 0
BAR
45%
30%
25%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |