Mondercange vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
13º
12º
26
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mondercange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
ETZ
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MON
5 - 1
VIC
55%
23%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
RUM
0 - 1
MON
42%
24%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
BET
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 0
ETZ
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TPE
2 - 3
FOL
13%
20%
67%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
UNA
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HOF
5 - 0
FOL
5%
10%
85%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
TFI
3 - 1
FOL
31%
22%
47%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |