Mondercange vs Norden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mondercange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
10 - 1
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
MAM
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
USS
4 - 0
MON
63%
19%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
USH
55%
21%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FFN
0 - 2
MAM
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USS
6 - 0
FFN
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FFN
0 - 1
USH
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UNA
5 - 2
FFN
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FFN
4 - 0
RUM
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |