Mondercange vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mondercange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
KOE
0 - 3
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
RUM
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
USH
2 - 0
MON
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MON
2 - 4
OBE
32%
25%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ERP
4 - 3
USM
70%
17%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIC
4 - 1
ERP
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
KOE
2 - 2
ERP
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ERP
0 - 1
RUM
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
USH
2 - 1
ERP
59%
21%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |