Moncarapachense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
12º
12º
47
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMO
6 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
SCP
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 4
UDL
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |