Moncarapachense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
12º
12º
47
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMO
6 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
SCP
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 4
UDL
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |