Moncarapachense vs U. Micaelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
LOU
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VST
1 - 2
MON
75%
17%
9%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
FAB
26%
23%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 1
MON
78%
15%
6%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
U. Micaelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UMI
1 - 0
ALC
11%
15%
74%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |