Moncarapachense vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
OLH
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
6 - 1
FCB
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
EDL
1 - 1
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
IMO
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
EDL
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 1
SER
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
OLH
1 - 1
SER
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
LOU
16%
23%
61%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 1
SER
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |