Moncarapachense vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
12º
12º
26
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
GDF
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 3
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
LUS
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
BEL
16%
27%
57%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
REA
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
TON
7%
16%
77%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |