Moncarapachense vs Comércio e Indústria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
7º
6º
3
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
USA
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
LUS
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
MON
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
20%
24%
57%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Comércio e Indústria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
CIN
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EDL
2 - 0
CIN
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CIN
1 - 1
UDL
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
CIN
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
OGR
4 - 2
CIN
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |