Monção vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.2%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
89%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
15.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
20.2%
0-4
11.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
14.5%
0-5
7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
8.5%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
4.2%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
FCB
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
MON
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CCO
3 - 0
MON
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MON
3 - 3
VIT
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SCV
2 - 2
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 0
RIO
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 0
MOR
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
RIO
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 3
SLB
22%
23%
56%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |