Monção vs Pedras Salgadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
29
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pedras Salgadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 1
PED
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PED
0 - 2
BRA
69%
19%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
4 - 2
PED
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PED
1 - 1
PEV
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
PED
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |