Monção vs Pedras Salgadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
29
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pedras Salgadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 1
PED
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PED
0 - 2
BRA
69%
19%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
4 - 2
PED
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PED
1 - 1
PEV
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
PED
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |