Monção vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
MON
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CCO
3 - 0
MON
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MON
3 - 3
VIT
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SCV
2 - 2
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
VFR
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCB
3 - 0
MAD
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 1
FCB
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
FCB
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 1
PIN
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
1DE
3 - 1
FCB
52%
27%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |