Monção vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 0
MON
80%
13%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
AMA
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 1
DUM
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEV
0 - 1
AMA
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
AMA
8%
15%
77%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | -1 |