Monaro Panthers vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
7º
5º
14
6º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
MON
63%
19%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
OKF
44%
22%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WWF
1 - 3
MON
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
GUN
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 4
COO
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WWF
2 - 4
TUG
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 0
CAN
7%
13%
80%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 2
OKF
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 4
CAN
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |