Monaro Panthers vs Gungahlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
78.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TUG
1 - 0
MON
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
WWF
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 0
MON
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
COO
5%
10%
86%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
RIR
3 - 2
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
COO
2 - 0
GUN
82%
11%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 1
GUN
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
TUG
2 - 1
GUN
44%
21%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
GUN
1 - 1
WWF
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
GUN
0 - 1
CAN
11%
14%
75%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |