Monagas vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
TRU
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
ZUL
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
ANZ
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
URE
0 - 0
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
URE
1 - 1
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TRU
2 - 0
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
URE
0 - 6
DEP
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ZUL
1 - 2
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |