Monagas vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
DEP
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
MET
41%
23%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
UCV
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 0
ANG
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
DEP
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 0
TAC
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |