Copa Venezuela Last 16
Global 2-2
Monagas vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
DIA
54%
23%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
MON
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MON
4 - 0
PDA
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
ANG
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
TUC
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
MON
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
ZUL
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
2 - 0
ARR
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 2
TUC
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |