Monagas vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
MON
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 3
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MON
1 - 3
ZAM
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TUC
1 - 3
ZAM
19%
27%
54%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TUC
3 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 1
TUC
52%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 5
TUC
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TUC
4 - 3
ANG
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |