Monagas vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
MIN
33%
26%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 1
MON
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 3
TRU
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 0
TRU
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TRU
1 - 0
ZUL
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |