Monagas vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
4 - 1
YAR
42%
23%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
42%
24%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ZUL
1 - 1
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
TRU
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MIN
3 - 1
TRU
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
TRU
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |