Monagas vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
14º
12º
4
2º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 22 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 21 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 21 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 20 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 19 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 19 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 17 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 17 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 16 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 16 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 16 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 15 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
14º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
49.5% | 62.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
EST
2 - 0
MON
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 0
DEF
32%
25%
42%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 4
TAC
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
4 - 2
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
POR
1 - 0
YAR
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 3
ZAM
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
DEP
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |