Monagas vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
TAC
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 0
GVA
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
ZAM
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MET
1 - 1
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
POR
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
GVA
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 0
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |