Monagas vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ANZ
2 - 1
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MON
2 - 3
ZAM
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
ATL
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
LLA
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
YAR
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
POR
3 - 4
CFC
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
MIR
23%
25%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 2
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |