Monagas vs Nacional Tachira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
MON
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MIN
1 - 1
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
MON
2 - 0
TAC
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
TRU
1 - 3
MON
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional Tachira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NTV
0 - 2
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
NTV
0 - 0
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NTV
3 - 0
CFC
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
NTV
3 - 2
EST
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
NTV
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |