Copa Venezuela 1/16
Global 5-3
Monagas vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
YAR
34%
27%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
ZUL
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 1
MET
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
ATL
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |