Monagas vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
APC
1 - 0
MON
27%
29%
45%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
MON
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MIN
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
DEF
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 1
GOI
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
GRE
5 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
GRE
5 - 0
CCP
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |