Monagas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
LAL
0 - 1
MON
20%
21%
59%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ZUL
2 - 1
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
ARA
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 1
MON
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
ULA
1 - 2
EST
19%
21%
61%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
EST
1 - 3
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
EST
3 - 1
ZUL
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |