Monagas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ZUL
1 - 0
MON
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
ANZ
40%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DIA
1 - 4
MON
25%
26%
50%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ZUL
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
ATL
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
URE
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
46%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MIN
27%
28%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |