Monagas vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
MIN
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MET
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LAR
0 - 2
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
GVA
0 - 3
ESC
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 2
GVA
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
LAL
2 - 3
ESC
40%
25%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 0
UCV
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 3
ESC
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |