Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 2-4
Monagas vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
DEP
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
MON
5 - 1
LAL
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
ZUL
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
DEP
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
DEP
26%
25%
50%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |